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Gold at 5-Mth Highs after Weak Non-farm Payrolls

07 Децембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The bullion pushed higher, boosted by the weakening greenback and was trading 0.60% stronger during the US session, hovering at around 1,245 USD, which are levels last seen in July this summer.

Earlier today, traders watched the US labor market data. The non-farm payrolls slowed sharply in November and the US economy created only 155,000 new jobs, against expectations of 200,000, while the previous number was revised lower to 237,000. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.7%.

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USDJPY: Pair Plunges amid Negative Sentiment, Lower Yields

06 Децембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The USDJPY pair declined sharply on Thursday and was trading 0.80% weaker during the US session, hovering below 112.40.

US bond yields plummeted again on Thursday, which dragged the USDJPY lower with them. The 10-year yield is now at 2.85% and the 30-year trades at around 3.12%. Moreover, the short-term yield curve remains inverted, confirming the risk-off sentiment.

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Stocks Fall as mood falters

04 Децембар 2018 Peter Bukov

Sentiment deteriorated on Tuesday as investors started to question the benefits of the weekend trade truce between USA and China and stocks fell, along with JPY cross. US bond yields also moved sharply lower, while the short-term part of the yield curve is already inverted, implying a possible recession over the next quarters.

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Stocks Surge, but Give up Part of Gains on Monday

03 Децембар 2018 Peter Bukov

Monday was another positive day for global equities and US indices were up 1%, while EU benchmarks surged more than 1% during the US session. However, indices were down notably from overnight highs reached during the Asian session as some profit taking hit the markets in the afternoon.

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EURUSD: Euro Remains Lower on Friday

30 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The EURUSD pair was 0.3% weaker during the US session on Friday and was trading at around 1.1360 as traders sold the shared currency after weaker than expected inflation numbers.

The euro zone's CPI inflation slipped to 2.0% year-on-year in November, down from 2.2% in October. This was broadly expected by economists, but the core inflation gauge slowed as well to 1.0% from 1.1% previously, while analysts had forecast this measure to stay unchanged at 1.1%.

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Dollar Trying to Recover from Wednesday’s Selling

29 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The greenback was trying to erase yesterday's losses and the dollar index edged higher from the intraday low, despite not so positive inflation data from the US.

The core PCE inflation index, which is the favorite way of measuring inflation for the Fed, unexpectedly deteriorated to 1.8% in October, down from 1.9% (revised lower from 2.0%) previously. The normal gauge stayed at 2.0% year-on-year. Slowing inflation can deter the Fed from raising rates, along with other factors such as weakening economic momentum.

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USDJPY: Pair Rises on Wednesday, Boosted By GDP, Yields

28 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The USDJPY pair ticked higher on Wednesday and was trading near the 114 level during the US session as rising stocks and rising yields spurred demand for the USDJPY pair.

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EURUSD: Euro Erases Gains After Weak IFO Numbers

26 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

The single currency failed to hold intraday gains and dropped 30-40 from daily highs to trade relatively unchanged on the day during the US session, hovering near 1.1350.

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USDCAD: Loonie Drops Despite Rising Inflation

23 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

It was a volatile day for the Canadian dollar and the Loonie was down 0.5% during the London session, with the USDCAD pair trading at around 1.3250.

The Canadian inflation accelerated further to 2.4% year on year, while core inflation also ticked higher to 1.6% from 1.5% previously. Moreover, retail sales advanced a bit from 0.0% to 0.2%, whilst the ex transportation gauge moved higher to 0.1% from -0.4% previously. Positive data failed to boost the Canadian dollar and it dropped, as previously mentioned.

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Another Bearish Session for Stocks

20 Новембар 2018 Peter Bukov

Stocks worldwide plunged on Tuesday and EU indices were trading at this year's lows, while the US benchmarks dropped closer to October' lows. The DAX index was down 1.2% during the London session, while the SP500 benchmark lost 1.5% shortly after the US opening bell and the Nasdaq was down another 2% to trade at 7-month lows.

Sentiment worsened further on Tuesday as FAANG stocks continued their demise, which dragged the entire stock market down.

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Tržišni fokus

  • UK gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.4% in the three months to October
  • In December, the sentix overall index for the economy in Euro Area falls for the 4th time in a row to -0.3
  • St. Louis Fed Chief James Bullard Suggests Fed Hold Rates Steady
  • Fed's Brainard: Gradual Rate Increases Still Appropriate 'In the Near Term'
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