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Why Trump's Speech is Important

11 Новембар 2019 Brian Cooper

Crude oil prices, the Norwegian Krone and Swedish Krona may all rise if US President Donald Trump's speech on trade policy amplifies market buoyancy and leads capital to flow into cycle-sensitive assets.

NOK, SEK and Brent may also get an additional boost if US CPI and retail sales data show improvement in the world's largest economy. However, local data out of the EU, Sweden and Norway could reverse some of NOK and SEK's gains.

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Gold Price Forecast

04 Новембар 2019 Brian Cooper

The price of gold attempts to break out of the range-bound price action from the previous month, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) highlighting a similar dynamic as data prints coming out of the US point to a slowing economy.


The reaction to the 128K rise in US Non-Farm Payrolls was short lived, with the price of gold climbing to a session-high of $1516 as the ISM Manufacturing survey crossed the wires at 48.3 versus expectations for a 48.9 print.


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Does he have enough support to get his Brexit deal through

21 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

After the amendment has passed, Johnson has reluctantly sent in a request to the EU to seek for a three-month extension to the Brexit deadline. However, he also sent a subsequent letter explaining why the UK government did not want an extension.


The idea behind this is to keep the pressure on UK lawmakers to agree on something at least before yet another extension.


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The Monster in NETFLIX

17 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper


Netflix shares climbed 10% higher on Wednesday after the company revealed it surpassed analyst expectations in the most recent quarter.


The company generated $5.42 billion in revenue, translating to $1.47 earnings per share, compared to the expected $5.25 billion and $1.05 EPS. Alongside financials, Netflix revealed it failed to meet subscriber growth expectations, adding only 6.7 million versus the 6.8 million that Wall Street analysts were looking for.

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Can Boris Johnson get a Brexit deal through the finish line?

16 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

At first glance, a middle ground of UK and the EU is trying to land on in negotiations. Both sides moving closer towards a Brexit deal sounds good but the key giveaway is that it is a deal that is conditional on DUP support.


Boris Johnson has but two choices at the end of the day:

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Chinese exports to fall by 3%

14 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

China's import and export data for September came in worse than expected amid the country's ongoing trade friction with the U.S., Reuters reported on Monday, citing the Chinese customs.


In U.S. dollar terms, China's exports fell 3.2% in September from a year ago, while imports dropped 8.5% during the same period, according to Reuters. The country's total trade balance in September was $39.65 billion, Reuters said.


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Focus on Powell's speech

09 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments on Tuesday suggested that interest rate cut in October was not a done deal, though did little to influence firming market expectations of a third interest rate cut this year at the upcoming FOMC meeting on October 29-30.

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All eyes on Trade Talks

08 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

Asian stocks are better bid with investors mulling the upcoming US-China trade talks.

after a week-long holiday the Shanghai Composite index is currently up 0.88%, having opened on a flat note. The futures on the S&P 500 are also reporting a 0.40% gain.

China has made clear that it wants to reach a partial trade deal and set out a timetable for the harder issues to be worked out next year.

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Odds are strongly on a no-deal Brexit for Euro

07 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

Investors will favour euro over the pound in migration to the havens.


EURGBP is looking promising on a 'no deal traction as a base case as the end of month deadline looms'. EU not sure whether to make Johnson's last proposal workable and set to decide by the end of the week.


EURGBP to rally back above the post referendum, flash crash high of 0.9415 on a no-deal Brexit scenario.


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PepsiCo, Earnings on Watch

04 Октобар 2019 Brian Cooper

PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP) is slated to report earnings with many expecting its snack business to continue to underpin performance.

The company recently has spruced up the snack business by adding healthier options.

In its second-quarter report, the beverage and snack maker said it expects its fiscal 2019 organic revenue to grow by 4% and adjusted earnings per share, assuming constant foreign currency exchange rates, to decline by 1%.

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